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NEW: German Hinterland Base Chemistry Trading Hubs by Smart Contracts

At the LogiChem2018 trade conference in Amsterdam participants were trading base chemistry in the form of a computer game for 4 players, SelfreHub, using a smart contract and the freeware software package Otree. These types of contracts are considered a prerequisite to use Blockchain as communication for commodity markets.
Most people know commodity market either from their own heating oil purchase, or from the stock market quotations for crude oil, wheat or maybe even coffee bean futures. However, the vast majority of commodities are traded very differently, namely in long-term contracts between operators of raw material plants such as cement factories, sugar refineries or chemical plants. "Long term" often means 1 year at a fixed price.
Fiat Money plays a big role in that world - delivery of these goods vs Money or better vs. Bank Guarantee. Interbank interest rates also play a major role, as the material inside large storages is leased to banks to gain the most efficient access to finance, sometimes even just for a few weeks.
However, most plants convert commodities only to other commodities, meaning they buy, for example, Crude oil convert it with a refinery process into gasoline, then sell it - often for a very small relative conversion margin, such as approx. 5 ct/Liter in the case of regular gasoline. The idea to use a Blockchain technology (raw material A in - Bitcoin payment out - raw material B out - Bitcoin payment in) is therefore already since a few years in discussion. However, the missing building block has been a nice, liquid market for such blockchain-based contracts.
‘Nice' markets have to be in the form of Hubs for commodity traders. Hubs are the basis for fungible contracts, such as futures. It is precisely that problem where the computer game's smart contracts provide the solution, since they are self-regulating in a public available algorithms. This means they essentially adjust their regional definition through analysis just of traded recent prices, not having to know anything about real factory capacities or the marketing strategies of their operators.
The founder of a start-up from Hamburg Oxandel, Björn Michaelis, who was involved in the development of the SelfRe-Hub Game, and brokers these contracts since last year in Germany between hot dip galvanizers and the chemical industry, said it would be like making the invisible hand of Adam Smith a bit more visible. When users - despite being in tough competition - and therefore don’t want to exchange true information, except the minimal needed like binding purchase and selling orders, very easily minimize their overall necessary freight distances - despite they dont't intend to cooperate - it seemes initially like Magic.
But these kind of clever contracts are not new to Econmists at all and well understood. The ideas go back to a game-theoretical thought experiment by Harold Hotelling from year 1928, which is often illustrated with the behavior of ice cream vendors at a beach. Jean Tirole, Nobel Laureate in Economics in 2014, also explains in his book "Economics for the Common God" that contract structures with fair and meaningful incentives - such as in this case the minimization of truck freight distances - are preferrable to the typical regulations of antitrust authorities sometimes forced on commodity producers, because the authorities usually don't have enough information or resources to correctly assess the behavious in the markets (Tirole Video).
The trading scheme seems to be almost "moneyless" and "creditless" - and therefore Austrian School Economics may provide the right tools to understand further implications.
submitted by Eddi_D to Commodities [link] [comments]

Blockchained Spot Commodity Market - Austrian School in Action ?

At the LogiChem2018 trade conference in Amsterdam participants were trading base chemistry in the form of a computer game for 4 players, SelfreHub, using a smart contract and the freeware software package Otree. These types of contracts are considered a prerequisite to use Blockchain as communication for commodity markets.
Most people know commodity market either from their own heating oil purchase, or from the stock market quotations for crude oil, wheat or maybe even coffee bean futures. However, the vast majority of commodities are traded very differently, namely in long-term contracts between operators of raw material plants such as cement factories, sugar refineries or chemical plants. "Long term" often means 1 year at a fixed price.
Fiat Money plays a big role in that world - delivery of these goods vs Money or better vs. Bank Guarantee. Interbank interest rates also play a major role, as the material inside large storages is leased to banks to gain the most efficient access to finance, sometimes even just for a few weeks.
However, most plants convert commodities only to other commodities, meaning they buy, for example, Crude oil convert it with a refinery process into gasoline, then sell it - often for a very small relative conversion margin, such as approx. 5 ct/Liter in the case of regular gasoline. The idea to use a Blockchain technology (raw material A in - Bitcoin payment out - raw material B out - Bitcoin payment in) is therefore already since a few years in discussion. However, the missing building block has been a nice, liquid market for such blockchain-based contracts.
‘Nice' markets have to be in the form of Hubs for commodity traders. Hubs are the basis for fungible contracts, such as futures. It is precisely that problem where the computer game's smart contracts provide the solution, since they are self-regulating in a public available algorithms. This means they essentially adjust their regional definition through analysis just of traded recent prices, not having to know anything about real factory capacities or the marketing strategies of their operators.
The founder of a start-up from Hamburg Oxandel, Björn Michaelis, who was involved in the development of the SelfRe-Hub Game, and brokers these contracts since last year in Germany between hot dip galvanizers and the chemical industry, said it would be like making the invisible hand of Adam Smith a bit more visible. When users - despite being in tough competition - and therefore don’t want to exchange true information, except the minimal needed like binding purchase and selling orders, very easily minimize their overall necessary freight distances - despite they dont't intend to cooperate - it seemes initially like Magic.
But these kind of clever contracts are not new to Econmists at all and well understood. The ideas go back to a game-theoretical thought experiment by Harold Hotelling from year 1928, which is often illustrated with the behavior of ice cream vendors at a beach. Jean Tirole, Nobel Laureate in Economics in 2014, also explains in his book "Economics for the Common God" that contract structures with fair and meaningful incentives - such as in this case the minimization of truck freight distances - are preferrable to the typical regulations of antitrust authorities sometimes forced on commodity producers, because the authorities usually don't have enough information or resources to correctly assess the behavious in the markets (Tirole Video).
The trading scheme seems to be almost "moneyless" and "creditless" - and therefore Austrian School Economics may provide the right tools to understand further implications.
submitted by Eddi_D to austrian_economics [link] [comments]

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